Unable to link observations across certain months using CPSIDP?

I am trying to use the CPSIDP variable to match individual observations across months but, for some reason, I am unable to do so across certain months in 1995. For example, I sorted my data by CPSIDP, Year and Month and created a variable that is 1 at month t if two observations have the same CPSIDP in month t and t+1. But, for example, between May 1995 and June 1995, I obtain no links (this indicator variable is equal to 0 for all observations in May 1995). This is weird because Drew et al says that you should get 95,000-100,000 matches across months back to at least 1994. Any help is appreciated!

The Census Bureau updated their sub-state geographic identifiers in September 1995, excluding them completely from the June-August 1995 period. As a result, they intentionally prevented the matching of households from samples with old geographic identifiers to samples with the new geographic identifiers. Specifically, it should be possible to link within the following three time periods, but not across:

  1. Prior to June 1995

  2. June-August 1995

  3. After August 1995

Hope this helps.

Hi,

I am trying to link June 1995 records to July and August 1995 using cpsidp, but it seems I can only get ~4% of records to link to either month; and of the linked records, age, sex, and/or race in June and July/August disagree ~92% of the time. Any help would be much appreciated, thanks!

I was able to replicate what you describe, but unfortunately I don’t have an explanation for you. The changes mentioned by Tim are described in the October 1995 CPS documentation (see page 50): https://cps.ipums.org/cps/resources/codebooks/cpsoct95.pdf

Why no (or very few) linkages are possible within June-August 1995 is unclear, but the IPUMS CPS team will look into this further. Thanks for bringing this to our attention!